The Driving Force behind Gas Prices

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By Jed Fisher

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Source: Jed Fisher

Okay. Gas prices soar and nobody can really give a rational explanation as to why. As far as I can tell, there is this oil company that owns its oil wells, and puts the oil on their tankers, delivers the oil to their refineries, and then their trucks deliver gasoline to their gas stations. But for some reason, they charge just as much for gas as everybody else. Their gasoline price has nothing to do with the price of oil sold on a commodity exchange.

But anyway, the 2010 BP Gulf oil spill showed, among other things, that the amount of oil is immense. The oil inventory numbers show, there is so much oil, the Banksters have actually bought supertankers for the express purpose of storing oil. And then there is the fact that empty oil wells in Oklahoma are being re-filled, crude oil pumped back into them, the owners of the wells collecting storage fees. Really, there is so much oil they are pumping it back into the ground just to store it. The oil producers shrug and say the price increases are caused by speculators.

Okay, here is the deal. ‘Paper oil’ is what speculators buy. Businesses have to project operating cost estimates in order to run their businesses profitably. For more volatile costs, such as oil prices, they hedge those costs with futures contracts to provide a firm number for how much those things will cost them. The most visible example is airlines, which purchase ‘paper’ jet fuel to smooth out or counter-balance the cost of actual jet fuel.

This practice has been made more accessible to smaller businesses, and even individuals, through trading tools on the internet, as well as Exchange Traded Funds that rise and fall in price along with oil. Or gasoline, or whatever they are designed to track. One such ETF is USO, (United States Oil) which goes up and down with crude oil prices. It is popular with farmers and ranchers who need something to stabilize their fuel costs.

Even the average Joe-Schmo consumer can purchase gas cards. Suppose Joe knows he needs to burn 400 gallons of gasoline next year to get back and forth to work but also knows he can’t be paying more than $3 a gallon or his kids starve. So he goes ahead and buys a gas card with 400 gallons on it when gas gets to $2.90 a gallon because he knows that’s the highest he can go. He’s good, until next year. Good luck Joe, I’m praying for you.

Good for Joe, good for the airlines, good for the farmers and ranchers, right? But really, what this does is it causes the price of paper oil to go up. And the financial institutions, the brokers and bankers, they collect their transaction fees. Also, they see all the data and track all the trends and they also jump in there and buy paper oil too, and make a boatload of money off the entire process.

This is just one piece of the puzzle. It’s not just oil, it is everything else. Food, housing, credit, consumer goods, gold, silver, cash in the bank, you name it. It’s all being subjected to the same basic principle. Good times, a big money party for everybody but the people who can’t play the game. They get squashed. The rich get richer. Everybody else, screw off, losers.

Comments

Wesman Todd Shaw profile image

Wesman Todd Shaw 13 months ago

Nailed in with one stroke of the hammer!

Jed Fisher profile image

Jed Fisher Hub Author 13 months ago

It's like hitting a twelve penny nail with a framing hammer! Just read an e-how article that says a diesel engine runs just fine on peanut oil. Might have to get that 1988 VW Rabbit diesel out of the barn, get it running again...

The Frog Prince profile image

The Frog Prince Level 7 Commenter 13 months ago

All I can say is - Drill, America, Drill. The world is dependent upon oil and we have large untapped sources. It may be about time to put OPEC and the the others in their place.

Speculation has a lot to do with it. Politics has more than a lot to do with it.

The Frog

Jed Fisher profile image

Jed Fisher Hub Author 13 months ago

I'd scratch a hole in my head if I really tried to figure out the whole oil thing. I just know that in 1990, when a 55 gallon barrel of oil went from $9 to $14, gas went from 90 cents to a buck forty, then we kicked Iraq's ass and oil went back down. Now a barrel of oil is only 40 gallons, and went from $30 to over $100, and keeps going up, while we are currently kicking three asses. And gas is around $4. Makes my head hurt, real bad.

katiem2 profile image

katiem2 13 months ago

This is crazy, I rushed to the pumps this morning as the news talked about gas going to over 4 dollars a gallon this week. Ugh, thanks for your report of gas price force, well done. :) Katie

Jed Fisher profile image

Jed Fisher Hub Author 8 weeks ago

So when gas ws cheaper in the 80s…

A modest car would last about 5 years or 50k miles and it cost 5k, or about ten cents a mile. And it got 15 MPG, or about 5 cents a mile for 80 cent gas. So, driving cost about 15 cent a mile in 1985.

Now a modest car lasts 10 years or 100k miles, and costs 20k, or about 20 cents a mile. And it gets 28 MPG, or about 14 cents a mile with four dollar gas. So, driving now costs about 34 cents a mile, or more than twice as much now compared to then.

Back then, minimum wage was 3.35 an hour. Now it’s 7.35 an hour.

More than twice as much.

In relative terms, we’re getting better cars for less money, more efficient, but we reap no benefit because the price of gas adjusts accordingly. The price of gas rises to whatever the market will bear. The price of gas is determined by how much money you got.

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